At. Malagueño vs CF Motril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAL
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
MAL
2 - 1
LOJ
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAL
5 - 0
CDR
79%
13%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
MAL
11%
19%
71%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
MAL
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CF Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDS
4 - 0
MOT
38%
24%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
MOT
0 - 2
ATA
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 3
MOT
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 1
ALH
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |