Atlético vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
ATM
3 - 0
ESP
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ELC
0 - 4
ATM
28%
30%
43%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
ATM
4 - 1
SAB
79%
14%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
CEL
3 - 2
ATM
33%
30%
37%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1971 |
MAL
0 - 1
VCF
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
VCF
1 - 0
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
RSO
0 - 0
VCF
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
VCF
2 - 1
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |