Atlético vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATM
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 3
RMA
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 3
ATM
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ATM
1 - 0
SEV
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
SLA
0 - 1
ATM
34%
29%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
FCB
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
BET
1 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
SPO
6 - 2
RSO
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
VCF
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAY
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |