Atlético vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATM
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATM
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
3 - 2
LEV
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GET
3 - 2
ATM
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
ATM
4 - 0
UDI
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 0
RAY
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 97 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RAY
1 - 2
VCF
24%
25%
52%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
OSA
0 - 0
RAY
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RAY
4 - 0
RSO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
RAY
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |