Atlético vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BET
1 - 0
ATM
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ATM
4 - 2
VAD
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATM
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ATM
2 - 0
OVI
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
MLL
0 - 1
ATM
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
RAC
0 - 1
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
RAC
0 - 1
BET
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
VAD
2 - 0
RAC
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
RAC
1 - 0
FCB
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
OVI
2 - 1
RAC
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |