Atlético vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
DEP
1 - 2
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 4
OSA
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MLL
2 - 0
ATM
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 2
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 0
ATM
40%
28%
32%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NUM
0 - 0
ESP
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BET
3 - 3
NUM
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
RAC
5 - 0
NUM
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 1
VCF
23%
26%
52%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |