Atlético vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
MAL
3 - 3
ATM
36%
23%
42%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAD
75%
13%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
VCF
6 - 0
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
0 - 1
ATM
36%
23%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ATM
4 - 1
OVI
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
CEL
3 - 2
VCF
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
OVI
1 - 2
CEL
49%
22%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
RSO
4 - 0
CEL
49%
22%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CEL
6 - 4
FCB
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
DEP
1 - 1
CEL
49%
22%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |