Atlético vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SAB
1 - 1
ATM
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 2
SPO
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
SEV
6 - 3
ATM
64%
18%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
ATM
1 - 0
SEV
62%
19%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
ATM
7 - 1
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
CEL
1 - 2
VCF
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
VCF
7 - 0
CEL
78%
13%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
CEL
0 - 2
VCF
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
CEL
6 - 0
JFC
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |