Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-2
Atlético vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
ATM
2 - 2
ESP
69%
18%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
ATM
1 - 0
ELC
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
MAL
0 - 3
ATM
38%
28%
35%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
MAL
1 - 3
RSO
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
SEV
2 - 0
MAL
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
BET
0 - 1
MAL
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
MAL
3 - 1
VAD
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
MAL
0 - 3
ATM
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |