Atlético vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
ATM
23%
26%
51%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ATM
4 - 0
RMA
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
EIB
1 - 3
ATM
16%
25%
59%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
ATM
2 - 3
FCB
22%
22%
56%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 1
RAY
74%
16%
10%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
RSO
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CCF
1 - 2
ALM
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
GET
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VCF
3 - 2
ALM
75%
16%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |