Atlético vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
ATH
3 - 1
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1927 |
BET
2 - 1
ATM
43%
23%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
ATM
3 - 1
CDP
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 9 | 73 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
ATM
1 - 1
BET
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
CDP
4 - 6
ATM
14%
21%
65%
|
82 | 10 | 72 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
RAC
2 - 2
ALA
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |