Atlético Lusaka vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Lusaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
LUR
0 - 2
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
MUF
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KAB
3 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
NCH
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MUZ
2 - 0
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
RED
1 - 1
MUF
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 0
RED
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RED
1 - 1
EAG
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NKA
3 - 1
RED
44%
28%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KAB
0 - 2
RED
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |