Zambia League Round 12

Atlético Lusaka vs Mufulira Wanderers analysis

Atlético Lusaka Mufulira Wanderers
23 ELO 36
-6.9% Tilt -1.7%
10435º General ELO ranking 7869º
24º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
22.8%
Atlético Lusaka
21.8%
Draw
55.4%
Mufulira Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
Atlético Lusaka
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.4%
Win probability
Mufulira Wanderers
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Lusaka
+22%
-10%
Mufulira Wanderers

ELO progression

Atlético Lusaka
Mufulira Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Lusaka
Atlético Lusaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
KAB
Kabwe Warriors
3 - 0
Atlético Lusaka
ATL
66%
19%
15%
22 39 17 0
02 Nov. 2024
ATL
Atlético Lusaka
0 - 0
Nchanga Rangers
NCH
26%
23%
52%
21 35 14 +1
26 Oct. 2024
MUZ
MUZA
2 - 0
Atlético Lusaka
ATL
68%
18%
14%
21 36 15 0
20 Oct. 2024
ATL
Atlético Lusaka
1 - 0
Green Eagles
EAG
24%
24%
53%
19 36 17 +2
05 Oct. 2024
POW
Power Dynamos
5 - 0
Atlético Lusaka
ATL
73%
17%
11%
19 38 19 0

Matches

Mufulira Wanderers
Mufulira Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
MUF
Mufulira Wanderers
2 - 0
Nchanga Rangers
NCH
49%
25%
26%
36 35 1 0
02 Nov. 2024
EAG
Green Eagles
1 - 0
Mufulira Wanderers
MUF
43%
25%
32%
36 36 0 0
26 Oct. 2024
MUF
Mufulira Wanderers
1 - 3
Nkana FC
NKA
50%
25%
25%
37 37 0 -1
19 Oct. 2024
NKW
Nkwazi
2 - 1
Mufulira Wanderers
MUF
36%
27%
37%
38 39 1 -1
05 Oct. 2024
MUF
Mufulira Wanderers
1 - 0
NAPSA Stars FC
NAP
45%
26%
29%
37 39 2 +1