Atlético de Lugones vs CD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ROB
2 - 0
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
AVI
7%
15%
79%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SIE
1 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
MAR
14%
23%
63%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 3
UPL
9%
18%
74%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
COV
0 - 1
UPL
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOS
1 - 2
COV
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COV
2 - 0
TIN
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PRA
0 - 1
COV
33%
26%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
COV
1 - 1
UDL
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |