Atlético de Lugones vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
ATL
61%
21%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESM
15%
22%
63%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SIE
4 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
BER
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 4
ATL
64%
22%
15%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
AST
24%
27%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AST
4 - 0
COM
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
AST
30%
26%
44%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AST
4 - 0
AND
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |