Atletico Jareño vs U.D. Alpera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
47.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Jareño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
HIG
4 - 1
AJA
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 4
OMA
49%
23%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 2
CVA
17%
19%
63%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CMG
1 - 0
AJA
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALP
24%
22%
55%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
3 - 0
CMG
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ALP
44%
24%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 1
QUI
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 1
CON
37%
21%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |