Atletico Jareño vs Cristo Minglanilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
49.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Jareño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
AJA
45%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
QUI
36%
24%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
CON
20%
19%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cristo Minglanilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CVA
0 - 0
CMG
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CMG
3 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
CMG
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CMG
2 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
CMG
63%
18%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |