Atlético Gloriense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
ATG
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
LAG
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 0
ATG
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ATG
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
BAH
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JAC
2 - 2
SER
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
FFC
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 1
SER
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |