Atlético Gloriense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 3
ATG
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATG
0 - 0
CON
7%
15%
77%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 0
ATG
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ATG
1 - 0
MAR
54%
21%
24%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 2
ATG
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
LAG
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 1
SOU
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 1
LAG
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
LAG
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |