Atlético dos Castros vs C.D. Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
ESP
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORZ
3 - 2
CAS
37%
21%
42%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 0
CCO
74%
14%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAS
31%
20%
49%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
6 - 0
SPO
73%
14%
13%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 2
CIU
41%
21%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
SAR
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 2
CDC
51%
21%
29%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ORZ
3 - 0
SAR
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 2
CPM
84%
10%
6%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |