Atlético CP vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
8º
7º
23
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 2
ATL
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
FEL
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
LUS
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 3
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
SPC
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |