Atlético CP vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
4º
1º
39
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAB
0 - 0
ATL
32%
22%
45%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
ANG
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAC
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PIN
2 - 0
ATL
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAB
2 - 6
ACV
10%
19%
71%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FAB
2 - 1
SER
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
FAB
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
IDE
3 - 2
FAB
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FAB
1 - 2
ESA
9%
19%
72%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |