Atlético Concepción vs Sportivo Guzmán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CSC
2 - 0
ATL
7%
14%
79%
|
37 | 6 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAG
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
ATL
14%
19%
68%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
PRO
84%
12%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
CCU
87%
10%
4%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Guzmán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 0
SPO
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAR
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CCU
1 - 0
SPO
9%
18%
73%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
COM
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
JUC
2 - 1
SPO
9%
18%
73%
|
58 | 15 | 43 | 0 |