Apertura Playoffs Four-team tournament Round 6

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Millonarios analysis

Atlético Bucaramanga Millonarios
70 ELO 80
1.2% Tilt -12.4%
562º General ELO ranking 543º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.6%
Atlético Bucaramanga
24.6%
Draw
46.8%
Millonarios

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.8%
Win probability
Millonarios
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Bucaramanga
+17%
-2%
Millonarios

ELO progression

Atlético Bucaramanga
Millonarios
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2022
JUN
Junior
1 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
66%
20%
14%
70 80 10 0
09 Jun. 2022
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
0 - 1
At. Nacional
NAC
30%
25%
46%
70 80 10 0
05 Jun. 2022
NAC
At. Nacional
4 - 1
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
66%
21%
14%
71 80 9 -1
01 Jun. 2022
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
2 - 0
Junior
JUN
35%
26%
39%
70 80 10 +1
23 May. 2022
MIL
Millonarios
1 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
64%
22%
14%
70 81 11 0

Matches

Millonarios
Millonarios
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jun. 2022
MIL
Millonarios
0 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
42%
26%
31%
81 81 0 0
09 Jun. 2022
MIL
Millonarios
0 - 0
Junior
JUN
50%
26%
24%
81 80 1 0
05 Jun. 2022
JUN
Junior
2 - 1
Millonarios
MIL
43%
26%
32%
81 79 2 0
01 Jun. 2022
NAC
At. Nacional
2 - 2
Millonarios
MIL
45%
26%
30%
81 80 1 0
23 May. 2022
MIL
Millonarios
1 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
64%
22%
14%
81 70 11 0