Tercera RFEF VIII - Castilla y León. Jor. 11

Atl. Bembibre vs Atl. Astorga analysis

Atl. Bembibre Atl. Astorga
26 ELO 30
-14.2% Tilt -20.1%
9490º General ELO ranking 6529º
425º Country ELO ranking 224º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Atl. Bembibre
25.3%
Draw
39.1%
Atl. Astorga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Atl. Bembibre
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.1%
Win probability
Atl. Astorga
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atl. Bembibre
+16%
+33%
Atl. Astorga

Points and table prediction

Atl. Bembibre
Their league position
Atl. Astorga
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
14º
10º
56
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Real Ávila
76
76
100%
Salamanca UDS
73
73
100%
Atlético Tordesillas
65
65
100%
Júpiter Leonés
63
63
100%
Atl. Astorga
56
56
100%
Palencia Cristo Atlético
55
55
100%
Palencia CF
53
53
100%
Becerril
51
51
100%
UD Santa Marta
43
43
100%
Atl. Bembibre
12º
41
41
10º
0%
La Virgen del Camino
10º
41
41
11º
0%
SD Almazán
11º
41
41
12º
100%
Burgos CF B
13º
40
40
13º
100%
Mirandés B
14º
35
35
14º
100%
CD Villaralbo
15º
33
33
15º
100%
CD Laguna
16º
29
29
16º
100%
DiocesÁvila - UCAV
17º
25
25
17º
100%
Ponferradina B
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Atl. Bembibre
Atl. Astorga
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Atl. Bembibre
Atl. Astorga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atl. Bembibre
Atl. Bembibre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
TOR
Atlético Tordesillas
3 - 3
Atl. Bembibre
CAB
60%
23%
17%
25 34 9 0
05 Nov. 2023
CAB
Atl. Bembibre
3 - 1
Palencia CF
PAL
34%
25%
41%
23 28 5 +2
29 Oct. 2023
BUR
Burgos CF B
1 - 2
Atl. Bembibre
CAB
77%
16%
7%
22 38 16 +1
22 Oct. 2023
CAB
Atl. Bembibre
0 - 1
Júpiter Leonés
LEO
32%
25%
43%
23 28 5 -1
14 Oct. 2023
SDA
SD Almazán
2 - 2
Atl. Bembibre
CAB
64%
20%
16%
22 26 4 +1

Matches

Atl. Astorga
Atl. Astorga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2023
AST
Atl. Astorga
1 - 1
CD Laguna
CDL
78%
15%
8%
31 16 15 0
05 Nov. 2023
BEC
Becerril
0 - 0
Atl. Astorga
AST
27%
25%
48%
31 23 8 0
01 Nov. 2023
AST
Atl. Astorga
1 - 0
FC Andorra
FCA
5%
14%
81%
29 69 40 +2
29 Oct. 2023
AST
Atl. Astorga
0 - 1
Mirandés B
MIR
55%
23%
23%
30 26 4 -1
21 Oct. 2023
LVC
La Virgen del Camino
1 - 0
Atl. Astorga
AST
35%
26%
39%
30 26 4 0
X