Atlético Baenense vs UD Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Baenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDV
3 - 2
ATL
36%
22%
42%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
SAN
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 3
SBE
44%
21%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
7 - 0
GUA
52%
20%
29%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
UDS
3 - 0
SBE
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 3
UDS
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
UDS
2 - 0
GUA
82%
12%
7%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAQ
3 - 3
UDS
65%
18%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UDS
4 - 2
SAL
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |