Atl. Astorga vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
PLA
4 - 1
AST
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
AST
3 - 1
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
LEO
1 - 0
AST
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
AST
4 - 0
CIU
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SAL
3 - 0
AST
66%
18%
17%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
PON
8 - 0
ZAM
82%
11%
6%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
BÉJ
4 - 2
PON
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
PON
4 - 1
CFP
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
VAL
2 - 0
PON
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ACF
3 - 1
PON
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |