Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 2-2
Atl. Astorga vs CD Laredo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 1
AST
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
AST
4 - 0
CDM
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CDM
4 - 0
AST
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
AST
2 - 0
BNS
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BNS
1 - 1
AST
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Laredo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 1
AST
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TER
1 - 1
LAR
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 0
TER
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 0
CEU
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CEU
1 - 2
LAR
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |