Liga MX Apertura Round 15

Atlante FC vs Toluca analysis

Atlante FC Toluca
81 ELO 84
2.3% Tilt -12.1%
287º General ELO ranking 323º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.7%
Atlante FC
26.7%
Draw
30.5%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
Atlante FC
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.5%
Win probability
Toluca
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlante FC
-6%
+27%
Toluca

ELO progression

Atlante FC
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlante FC
Atlante FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2009
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 1
Atlante FC
ATL
56%
24%
20%
82 83 1 0
25 Oct. 2009
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 0
Atlas FC
ATS
51%
24%
26%
81 79 2 +1
18 Oct. 2009
IND
Indios
0 - 2
Atlante FC
ATL
40%
29%
31%
81 78 3 0
11 Oct. 2009
SNL
San Luis
2 - 1
Atlante FC
ATL
48%
26%
26%
81 79 2 0
04 Oct. 2009
ATL
Atlante FC
2 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
46%
26%
28%
81 83 2 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2009
TOL
Toluca
2 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
71%
19%
10%
84 66 18 0
24 Oct. 2009
EST
Tecos
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
49%
25%
26%
84 82 2 0
21 Oct. 2009
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
DC United
DCU
62%
21%
16%
84 77 7 0
18 Oct. 2009
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
Tigres UANL
TIG
60%
22%
18%
84 78 6 0
04 Oct. 2009
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
San Luis
SNL
57%
24%
20%
84 79 5 0