Primera Nacional Playoffs Ascenso. 1/16

Atlanta vs San Martín Tucumán analysis

Atlanta San Martín Tucumán
60 ELO 67
7.2% Tilt -0.3%
1548º General ELO ranking 524º
63º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
34.2%
Atlanta
26.9%
Draw
39%
San Martín Tucumán

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
Atlanta
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39%
Win probability
San Martín Tucumán
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlanta
+11%
+3%
San Martín Tucumán

ELO progression

Atlanta
San Martín Tucumán
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlanta
Atlanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2021
MOR
Deportivo Morón
1 - 2
Atlanta
ATL
41%
28%
32%
59 60 1 0
03 Jan. 2021
ATL
Atlanta
1 - 2
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
EST
51%
26%
23%
60 60 0 -1
27 Dec. 2020
ATL
Atlanta
1 - 1
Temperley
TEM
45%
26%
29%
60 63 3 0
19 Dec. 2020
EST
CA Estudiantes
3 - 3
Atlanta
ATL
52%
25%
24%
60 62 2 0
13 Dec. 2020
ATL
Atlanta
2 - 3
Argentino Agropecuario
AGR
52%
25%
23%
60 60 0 0

Matches

San Martín Tucumán
San Martín Tucumán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2021
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
2 - 2
Gimnasia Mendoza
GIM
60%
23%
16%
67 58 9 0
03 Jan. 2021
RIE
Dep. Riestra
0 - 0
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
22%
26%
52%
68 55 13 -1
28 Dec. 2020
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
0 - 1
Villa Dálmine
DAL
62%
23%
15%
69 58 11 -1
19 Dec. 2020
SAR
Sarmiento
1 - 0
San Martín Tucumán
SMA
34%
27%
39%
69 65 4 0
14 Dec. 2020
SMA
San Martín Tucumán
0 - 3
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
62%
23%
16%
70 60 10 -1
X