Athlone Town vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
3º
30
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 74 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 58 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 58 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 53 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 53 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 51 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 50 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 28 |
9º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 22 |
10º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
81.5% | 77% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
BRW
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
ATH
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
ATH
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
COB
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
UCD
3 - 3
FIN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
UCD
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 2
COB
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 0
LON
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
UCD
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |