Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
4º
21
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 78 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 60 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 57 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 57 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 52 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 47 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 40 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 30 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
10º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77.5% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
ATH
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
ATH
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
COB
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
ATH
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
FIN
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 0
FIN
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
COB
2 - 1
BRW
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 0
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 1
TRE
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
BRW
36%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +2 |