Athletic Valle A vs CD Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Valle A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FMO
1 - 2
VAL
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 3
OLY
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SBA
0 - 3
VAL
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 4
CDT
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SIR
1 - 1
VAL
18%
21%
62%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 6
QUI
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FMO
0 - 4
QUI
29%
22%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
QUI
6 - 2
OLY
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SBA
0 - 5
QUI
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
QUI
4 - 0
CDT
75%
15%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |