Athletic Nueva Jarilla vs Cañorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Nueva Jarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TAR
4 - 1
ATH
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
4 - 0
EST
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FED
1 - 0
ATH
14%
17%
70%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
5 - 0
LBA
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CLU
2 - 1
ATH
9%
15%
77%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cañorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
LRP
33%
22%
45%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDU
1 - 1
CAN
41%
21%
37%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 4
PUE
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAY
2 - 2
CAN
37%
22%
42%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BEN
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |