Athletic Fregenal vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SPR
2 - 0
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 3
RHI
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
ATH
44%
22%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SEG
4 - 3
ATH
61%
20%
20%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 1
BIE
48%
22%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
UDF
2 - 4
SEG
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BIE
1 - 1
UDF
26%
23%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UDF
3 - 2
VIL
62%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 1
UDF
57%
20%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ACE
1 - 3
UDF
65%
19%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |