Athletic Club vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 2
FER
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
ATH
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAH
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 2
ATH
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 0
CAM
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 0
IFC
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 1
PAT
67%
19%
13%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 1
POA
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
IFC
32%
22%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 1
AMF
12%
22%
67%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |