Colina vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
6º
4º
30
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 23 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 20 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ACC
2 - 0
CHG
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACC
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ACC
3 - 2
MPA
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUC
0 - 0
ACC
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ACC
0 - 0
SCF
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
2 - 0
DUC
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHG
1 - 0
OVA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OVA
1 - 0
SCF
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
OVA
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OVA
0 - 0
CDS
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |