Colina vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GVE
0 - 2
ACC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ACC
2 - 0
TOM
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ACC
2 - 1
BDS
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 2
ACC
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ACC
1 - 0
DLI
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
OVA
3 - 3
JOA
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
5 - 2
OVA
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
OVA
1 - 2
LIM
23%
24%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MEJ
3 - 0
OVA
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
OVA
0 - 1
REN
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |