Colina vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
JOA
4 - 1
ACC
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ACC
6 - 1
CHI
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 1
ACC
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ACC
4 - 2
MEJ
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
REN
3 - 1
ACC
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
FVC
1 - 1
GVE
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JOA
0 - 1
FVC
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
FVC
1 - 0
TOM
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 3
FVC
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 3
FVC
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |