LaLiga Round 16

Athletic vs Valencia analysis

Athletic Valencia
87 ELO 82
20% Tilt -11.2%
20º General ELO ranking 50º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
76.1%
Athletic
14.7%
Draw
9.2%
Valencia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
Athletic
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.2%
Win probability
Valencia
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Athletic
-2%
+3%
Valencia

ELO progression

Athletic
Valencia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Athletic
Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 1983
MAL
CD Málaga
0 - 0
Athletic
ATH
38%
26%
35%
87 78 9 0
07 Dec. 1983
CFC
Cartagena F.C. UCAM
0 - 3
Athletic
ATH
21%
24%
56%
87 63 24 0
04 Dec. 1983
ATH
Athletic
2 - 0
Real Betis
BET
76%
15%
9%
87 82 5 0
30 Nov. 1983
FCB
Barcelona
0 - 1
Athletic
ATH
77%
14%
9%
87 90 3 0
27 Nov. 1983
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Athletic
ATH
70%
18%
12%
86 89 3 +1

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 1983
VCF
Valencia
2 - 2
Mallorca
MLL
82%
12%
6%
82 67 15 0
04 Dec. 1983
OSA
Osasuna
2 - 0
Valencia
VCF
51%
24%
25%
82 77 5 0
27 Nov. 1983
VCF
Valencia
2 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
55%
23%
23%
82 84 2 0
23 Nov. 1983
VCF
Valencia
2 - 2
Recreativo
REC
84%
11%
5%
82 64 18 0
20 Nov. 1983
ATM
Atlético
1 - 2
Valencia
VCF
60%
22%
18%
82 85 3 0