Europa League Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 4-5
Athletic vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAY
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATH
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
ATH
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
2 - 5
FCB
10%
18%
73%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
TOR
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATH
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAG
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VER
1 - 3
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
5 - 1
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |