Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
CAD
2 - 1
ATH
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ATH
1 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
RMA
49%
24%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1978 |
ATH
3 - 4
ATM
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
UDL
3 - 0
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 2
BUR
66%
20%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 2
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 0
BET
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESP
58%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |