Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.1%
8.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
39%
23%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
ATH
0 - 0
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
48%
22%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ATH
1 - 1
ATM
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
SPO
3 - 4
OSA
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
RMA
4 - 0
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SPO
5 - 2
VCF
29%
24%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
CEL
5 - 2
SPO
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SPO
0 - 1
ESP
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |