Athletic vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.5%
13.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATH
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 1
FCB
65%
17%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 1
VCF
67%
17%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
RSO
1 - 4
ATH
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
RMA
1 - 3
ATH
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SEV
1 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
SAB
1 - 1
SEV
24%
21%
56%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
52%
20%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SEV
4 - 3
CEL
75%
14%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ESP
3 - 2
SEV
44%
22%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |