Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 0
LOK
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 0
MAL
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 1
ATH
42%
27%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BET
2 - 1
ATH
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RSO
1 - 0
MLL
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
4 - 1
RSO
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
RSO
2 - 0
SEV
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
RSO
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RSO
5 - 1
SPO
44%
28%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |