Athletic vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LEV
3 - 1
ATH
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ATH
0 - 2
ZAR
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MLL
0 - 1
ATH
39%
26%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 1
EIB
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 0
CEL
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
RAY
3 - 1
GET
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
RAY
3 - 0
LEV
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VCF
0 - 1
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 2
ZAR
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 0
RAY
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |