Athletic vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
BET
3 - 0
ATH
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATH
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
ATH
3 - 1
RAY
61%
24%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
RSO
2 - 2
ATH
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATH
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
RAY
1 - 2
VAD
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1996 |
RAY
2 - 0
MLL
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
MLL
1 - 0
RAY
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
ATH
3 - 1
RAY
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
RAY
4 - 3
ZAR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |