Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
ALA
3 - 1
ATH
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
BET
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RSO
3 - 1
ATH
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 3
LEV
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
90%
8%
3%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ESP
4 - 1
MAL
50%
27%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ATM
0 - 2
ESP
72%
20%
8%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
UDL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GIR
0 - 2
ESP
43%
26%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 1
EIB
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |