Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
11%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
SEV
6 - 0
ATH
62%
19%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
ATH
7 - 2
VAD
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATH
60%
19%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
ESP
4 - 1
ATM
46%
23%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1948 |
ESP
3 - 1
RSO
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1948 |
CEL
2 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
CEL
2 - 2
ESP
73%
15%
13%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |