Athletic vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.7%
Win probability
4.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.5%
+9
2%
8-0
2.8%
9-1
1.1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
4%
7-0
4.6%
8-1
2%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
<0%
+7
7.1%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
3.4%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.9%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
4.9%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
6.2%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.9%
3.6%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
3.6%
1.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
OVI
2 - 1
ATH
43%
22%
35%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
ATH
1 - 1
SEV
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATH
30%
23%
47%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ATH
6 - 3
FCB
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
ATM
2 - 2
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 2
GRA
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
RSO
3 - 0
CAS
70%
15%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
CAS
2 - 2
VCF
11%
15%
74%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
RMA
9 - 1
CAS
89%
7%
4%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
CAS
0 - 3
CEL
32%
22%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |